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• Published on: 1600
• Binding: Hardcover

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There’s a running joke among radiologists: finding a tumor in a mammogram is akin to finding a snowball in a blizzard. A bit of medical gallows humor, this simile illustrates the difficulties of finding signals (the snowball) against a background of noise (the blizzard). Doctors are faced with similar difficulties every day when sifting through piles of data from blood tests to X-rays to endless lists of patient symptoms.

Diagnoses are often just educated guesses, and prognoses less certain still. There is a significant amount of uncertainty in the daily practice of medicine, resulting in confusion and potentially deadly complications. Dr. Steven Hatch argues that instead of ignoring this uncertainty, we should embrace it. By digging deeply into a number of rancorous controversies, from breast cancer screening to blood pressure management, Hatch shows us how medicine can fail—sometimes spectacularly—when patients and doctors alike place too much faith in modern medical technology. The key to good health might lie in the ability to recognize the hype created by so many medical reports, sense when to push a physician for more testing, or resist a physician’s enthusiasm when unnecessary tests or treatments are being offered.

Both humbling and empowering, Snowball in a Blizzard lays bare the inescapable murkiness that permeates the theory and practice of modern medicine. Essential reading for physicians and patients alike, this book shows how, by recognizing rather than denying that uncertainty, we can all make better health decisions.

• Sales Rank: #90254 in Books
• Published on: 2016-02-23
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.25" h x 1.03" w x 6.13" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 312 pages

Review
PRAISE FOR SNOWBALL IN A BLIZZARD:

“Informative…Snowball in a Blizzard adds an important perspective…[The book] rightly sounds the alarm: Better communication between doctors and patients is essential to improve medical decision making.”
—Wall Street Journal

“[Snowball in a Blizzard is a] penetrating examination of uncertainty in diagnoses and treatment.”
—Nature

“Snowball in a Blizzard is Hatch's first book, but the clarity and wit of his discussions rank with that of the best science writers.”
—Shelf Awareness

“This intriguing perspective on the obscurity of medicine…is highly recommended for health-care professionals, health-conscious patients, and well-informed consumer health readers.”
—Library Journal, starred review

“[Snowball in a Blizzard is a] carefully argued, unsettling, and important work.”
—Publishers Weekly

“In writing, Hatch strives to find ‘that sweet spot where readability and scholarliness overlap’… he succeeds, telling stories that clarify the points he's making, and he even includes a highly personal anecdote that shows him struggling to deal with doctors who were sure they knew the right treatment for his elderly, hospitalized father… Hatch ably reveals the shortcomings of medicine.”
—Kirkus Reviews

“Hatch’s Snowball in a Blizzard is like Carl Sagan’s famous “baloney detection kit” for medical scientific research. How can we figure out which “discoveries” to trust or to take with a grain of salt? First step: Read this book.”
—Katrina Firlik, MD, Author of Another Day in the Frontal Lobe: A Brain Surgeon Exposes Life on the Inside

“I can say with certainty that Steven Hatch’s Snowball astutely deconstructs the uncertainty in the practice of medicine—from diagnosis to treatment to media coverage—as well as this important topic has ever been tackled.”
—Eric Topol, author of The Patient Will See You Now, Professor, The Scripps Research Institute

“What could be more intuitive: that physicians should be humble, admitting the uncertainty of their medical sciences and treating their patients like equals. Would that it were. Although who knows—if enough doctors and patients read Steve Hatch's masterfully-argued Snowball—maybe someday it will be.”
—Larry Tye, Director of the Boston-based Health Coverage Fellowship and author of New York Times bestseller Satchel

About the Author
Steven Hatch is an assistant professor of medicine at the University of Massachusetts Medical School, working in the Division of Infectious Disease and Immunology. He lives in Newton, Massachusetts.

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16 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
Fascinating book about the uncertainty of medical statistics
By Prufrock
This is a book about uncertainty in the theory and practice of modern medicine. Its premise is simple: namely, that doctors do not often “know” what they are doing with the kind of mathematical precision that we associate with rocket scientists or chemical engineers. A diagnosis is, much more often than not, an educated guess, and a prognosis is typically less certain than that.

What makes this book special is the remarkable style of the author.. It should be of interest to all the readers who are fascinated with popular statistics - think Nate Silver -, behavioral economics - think Daniel Kahneman’s bestselling book Thinking Fast and slow, and books about how doctors think and how medicine really works - think Jerome Groopman .

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Great food for thought
By Isaac P Hazard
Great book! Dr. Hatch illustrates the importance of understanding the level of uncertainty that health care professionals (and patients) face daily. While the content relates specifically to medicine, the lessons can be extrapolated to our approach to the rest of the sciences and even to life in general. In today's world, both professional and lay person alike are bombarded with information. As humans we are predisposed to fit that information into a category of true/untrue. While this mode of thinking has many advantages (speed, simplicity) it also leads to placing too much confidence in some information and not in others which can in turn lead to bad choices.

More and more we live in a society that deifies the role of the expert. When faced with a question outside of our own particular milieu, we place near 100% faith in the recommendations of one or more selected experts without appreciating the level to which that expert is or should be confident in that recommendation. In this book, Dr. Hatch helps us to identify when this type of mistake is likely to happen and provides us with a framework (the 'spectrum of uncertainty') to place this information in a more rational context. Let's hope we listen.

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Certainly Uncertain
By IN8
Medicine has protected itself, its providers and its recipients from uncertainty and yet we know so little about health and illness, aetiology, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. We have blurred the lines between normal and abnormal, and medicalised where we don't know whether we should or should not. While this is perhaps hard to accept, given our diet of fads and fantasies, our short term memory and even shorter term attention span, it's certainly the case. The risk however is when we finally set a certainty point that it's an ever moving point. While I like this book, a lot, at times it falls for the very dynamic it seeks to unveil, trying to soothe us with moments of certainty. For instance - yes, vaccines are without a doubt one of medicine's current strongest certainties - but what might tomorrow bring? Is it the same for all vaccines? Will we one day have something more reliable than statistics on which to judge certainty? I think an open mind to uncertainty to the end of the book would have done the topic more justice.

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Genre - Fantasy Contemporary Satire

One sunny day, as a part of a secretive government operation, the State of Israel moves from its place in the Middle East and becomes an island off the Italian coast. A group of close friends decides to uncover the mystery and begins an adventure that involves the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Seltera, the lost city of Atlantis, and a crazy ladybug.
”Israel Moves” reflects the spicy Mediterranean character and portrays the story of a true friendship and a heroic mission with grandiose consequences.

• Sales Rank: #3929628 in eBooks
• Published on: 2012-09-28
• Released on: 2012-09-28
• Format: Kindle eBook

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Just Couldn't put it Down
By Mitt Johnson
The story of a nation that was located in a rough neighborhood, and not anymore. Though it deals with serious issues, it's not a heavy read. I set down last night and read the book cover to cover. Exciting, fast paced... flows from the first line to its surprising ending. I recommend it a lot.

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In view of the serious challenges facing college and university administrators, it is encouraging to note the increased interest in improving leadership knowledge and skills. This book presents an additional option to college and university administrators in their efforts to enhance their leadership skills. The case study approach to improving insights and skills in leadership is predicated on the belief that leadership is learned, and that it often requires courage to act and to live with the consequences of one's actions. The book includes 18 cases on a variety of issues being faced by college and university leaders. Its purpose is to encourage administrators to enhance their ability to make decisions by focusing on the decision-making process and by thinking about the consequences of the various options available to them. The options presented in each case can be expanded by those studying and discussing them or revised to meet their personal preferences. Questions to encourage further discussion are presented at the end of each case, including a list of suggested readings that are related to the case. The cases are organized into four sections: (1) Raising Money and Funding of Services, (2) Athletics and Facilities, (3) Academic Policies and Issues, and (4) Student Service Issues. The cases represent realistic but fictitious issues at a variety of colleges and universities. The issues, and the names of the institutions are fictitious; any resemblance to any actual institution or person is entirely coincidental.

• Sales Rank: #5398627 in Books
• Published on: 2011-01-31
• Original language: English
• Dimensions: 10.00" h x 7.00" w x .50" l, 1.26 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 236 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I am so glad that the author updated this book
By Anele M. Lavodnas
I am so glad that the author updated this book. I use it for my leadership supervision class. The previous one was fifteen years old, and the students noticed. The new version is great because it includes a broader array of cases. I can't wait to use it for my next class.

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What do psychologists do? Why do they do it? Does it take some sort of special aptitude to become a psychologist? How do you think psychologists feel about us asking all these questions about them? A psychologist friend of yours tells you that he is unhappy all the time and thinks it might have something to do with how he makes a living—how would you help? Now substitute the word “people for psychologist and you have some idea of the kinds of questions the science of psychology tries to answer—questions about behavior, motive, aptitude, feeling, perception, and therapy. And while psychology may not provide definitive answers, it does offer powerful insights that can help you better understand who you are and why you feel and act the way you do.
Psychology For Dummies is a fun, user-friendly guide to the basics of human behavior and mental processes. In plain English and using lots of everyday examples, psychologist Dr. Adam Cash cuts through the jargon to explain what psychology is all about and what it tells us about why we do the things we do.

With this book as your guide, you ll:

•Gain profound insights into human nature
•Understand yourself better
•Make sense of individual and group behaviors
•Explore different approaches in psychology
•Recognize problems in yourself and others
•Make informed choices when seeking psychological counseling

From Freud to forensics, anorexia to xenophobia, Psychology For Dummies takes you on a fascinating journey of discovery. Topics covered include:

•Major schools of thought and how they differ
•The role of the body, the mind, relationships and culture in human psychology
•What is consciousness, awareness, and consciousness of self?
•Instinct, feeling and emotion and where they come from
•Developmental psychology and how people learn
•The role of gender in psychology
•Abnormal and forensic psychology
•Emotional and psychological problems and psychotherapy

Human behavior is an endlessly fascinating subject. Get Psychology For Dummies and find out what the science of human behavior has to say about why we do the things we do

• Sales Rank: #1489827 in Books
• Published on: 2012-09-11
• Original language: Spanish
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: .80" h x 6.70" w x 9.00" l, 1.00 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 360 pages

About the Author

Adam Cash, PsyD, teaches psychology at both the community college and university levels. He currently works as a forensic psychologist with mentally disordered criminal offenders.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Victor M.
Good godd

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[B450.Ebook] Download Birds from Bricks: Amazing LEGO(R) Designs That Take Flight - With 15 Step-by-Step Projects, by Thomas Poulsom

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Let your creativity soar with 15 projects using interlocking bricks and to make birds from around the world.

Interlocking bricks, such as LEGO(R), have fueled the imaginations of aspiring designers and builders for generations. In Birds from Bricks, horticulturist and LEGO enthusiast Thomas Poulsom guides you through re-creating nature's feathered-friends in stunning detail. Assemble your very own cardinal, macaw, penguin, and more!

With detailed step-by-step instructions and full color photos of completed models, Birds from Bricks will let your creativity soar. Learn how to build 15 projects, featuring birds from around the world: North and South America, the Mid-Atlantic, Eurasia, Africa, the North Pacific, and Australia/New Zealand.

Each set of instructions includes entertaining and educational information about the bird's characteristics and habitat. Poulsom's creative and charming designs surprise and delight lovers of birds, nature, and--of course--LEGO.

• Sales Rank: #190443 in Books
• Published on: 2016-04-01
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 10.25" h x .50" w x 8.75" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Flexibound
• 144 pages

Review

"This is a delightfully presented book which will particularly appeal to fans of the Ideas Birds set who want to build more in the same vein. The instructions are set out clearly and concisely..." - Huw Millington of Brickset.com

About the Author
A gardener and tree surgeon by profession and a passionate nature and bird lover, Thomas Poulsom rediscovered his love of building with Lego as an adult. He was inspired to create his first realistic Lego bird sculpture, a robin, when a real robin perched nearby while he worked in his garden. Poulsom has since expanded the scope of his Lego project to more than 30 birds from every continent; three--his robin, hummingbird, and bluejay--were recently accepted by Lego for production as a set. Poulsom's Lego bird designs have been featured in many online venues for Lego, design, gardening, nature, and birding enthusiasts. In 2013 he was a speaker at the PINC (People Ideas Nature Creativity) Conference in Zeist, Holland.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Build Some Birds Today!
By Concerned Reader
This book is awesome. It give complete instructions for building 15 different birds. Bricks are not included. Sources for bricks are listed in the appendix.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Beautiful assemble instruction
By K Pang
Lots of bird assemble instruction inside the book. Beautiful assemble instruction.
Good to have this book.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Heyeliza
I loved the Lego Birds and really excited to have this book. Looking forward to making more!

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Birds from Bricks: Amazing LEGO(R) Designs That Take Flight - With 15 Step-by-Step Projects, by Thomas Poulsom PDF

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[H501.Ebook] Free PDF Urban Economics, by Arthur O'Sullivan

Free PDF Urban Economics, by Arthur O'Sullivan

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Arthur O’Sullivan’s Urban Economics is the leading text for this small, but exciting market. This book covers urban economics as the discipline that lies at the intersection of geography and economics. The sixth edition is a thorough revision of previous incarnations—the author has reorganized and rewritten every chapter to produce a sleek and up-to-date text that will bring renewed attention to the Urban Economics course. This sixth edition offers an extreme makeover from previous editions while also incorporating the remarkable progress in the field of urban economics in the last ten to fifteen years. Part I of the book explains why cities exist and what causes them to grow or shrink. Part II examines the market forces that shape cities and the role of government in determining land-use patterns. Part III looks at the urban transportation system, exploring the pricing and design of public transit systems and the externalities associated with automobile use (congestion, environmental damage, collisions). Part IV uses a model of the rational criminal to explore the causes of urban crime and the spatial consequences. Part V explains the unique features of the housing market and examines the effects of government housing policies. The final part of the book explains the rationale for our fragmented system of local government and explores the responses of local governments to intergovernmental grants and the responses of taxpayers to local taxes. All of the economic concepts used in the book are covered in the typical intermediate microeconomics course, but a Tools of Microeconomics appendix is included that covers the key concepts for students whose exposure to microeconomics is limited to an introductory course or who could benefit from a review of intermediate concepts.

• Sales Rank: #927460 in Books
• Brand: McGraw-Hill Irwin
• Published on: 2006-01-17
• Ingredients: Example Ingredients
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .88" w x 7.00" l, 1.78 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 432 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Chen Si
Good

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By shanzi
good!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Nice book.
By Carolina Chantrill
The book is good enough. Particularly focused on urban matters. Also, it was in a really good condition for being a used product.

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